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Denver Housing Market Shifts: 91% of Homes Fall Below Peak Value

Bob Engel

As a real estate professional with over thirty-five years of national real estate experience, Bob has the strong industry knowledge rarely found in re...

As a real estate professional with over thirty-five years of national real estate experience, Bob has the strong industry knowledge rarely found in re...

Dec 2 5 minutes read

🔥 A Market Reset at Mile-High Speed: Why Denver’s Price Slide Has Quietly Opened the Best Buyer Window in a Decade

Denver’s housing market just experienced a plot twist so sharp that buyers, sellers, and even seasoned brokers are recalibrating in real time. The latest Zillow report confirms what many of us in the trenches already felt:  91% of homes in the Denver Metro area have fallen below their peak value.

That’s not just a shift —  it's a ranking...
Denver now leads the entire country in home value declines, far above the U.S. average of 53%.

And for Buyers?    This isn’t a warning...
It’s an invitation!

📉 Sellers Are Feeling the Shift — Some for the First Time Ever

The change isn't theoretical. It’s showing up in actual transactions.

Local reporting highlighted a homeowner with 12 past real estate sales under his belt who, for the first time, sold at a loss. On his next purchase, the home didn’t appraise, triggering a renegotiation. Instead of the Buyer bridging the gap with cash — a near requirement in 2021 — the Seller reduced.

Stories like this are becoming common:

  • Properties sit longer.

  • Appraisals fall short.

  • Sellers cut price again after already reducing.

  • Buyers aren’t waiving contingencies.

  • Negotiations have returned — and with force.

Redfin confirms: over half of Denver-area Buyers received concessions this fall.

🏡 Inventory Has Exploded — and That Changes Everything

Realtor.com reports that Denver inventory is up ~65% year-over-year, reaching its highest point since 2012.

More inventory equals:

  • More options

  • Less competition

  • Lower pressure

  • More negotiating room

  • More off-market opportunities from expired/withdrawn listings

The market conditions we’re seeing right now look much more like Denver circa 2013–2015 than anything post-2020.

💰 The Buyer Advantage Has Returned — Stronger Than You Think

Let’s break down the real wins Buyers are securing:

1️⃣ Additional Price Reductions

54% of listings saw price cuts this fall — and many Buyers negotiated below those reduced prices.
This is leverage Buyers haven’t had in a decade.

2️⃣ Seller-Paid Closing Costs

NAR reports 60% of Buyers nationally received concessions.
In Denver?
Even higher.

It’s now common to see Sellers paying:

  • Buyer closing costs

  • Lender fees

  • Title charges

  • HOA transfer fees

These savings range from $8K to over $15K.

3️⃣ Seller-Paid Prepaid Escrows

Sellers are covering:

  • Property tax reserves

  • Insurance reserves

  • Interest reserves

This meaningfully reduces cash-to-close.

4️⃣ Seller-Funded Rate Buydowns

HousingWire confirms rate buydowns are the fastest-growing Seller concession in the country.

Denver Sellers are funding:

  • 2-1 buydowns

  • 3-2-1 buydowns

  • Permanent rate reductions

This can drop monthly payments by hundreds.

🧭 Important Clarification About Roofs

If a roof is at the end of its life, replacement isn’t a “concession” — it’s needed for insurance and lender approval.

The real leverage today is financial:
price, closing costs, prepaids, and rate incentives.

⏳ 2026: The Year Everything Might Change Again

Bloomberg and Fortune both warn that if interest rates fall substantially in 2026:

  • A flood of sidelined Buyers will re-enter

  • Inventory will tighten

  • Seller concessions will vanish

  • Prices will firm and climb

  • Bidding wars could return

In other words:
Today’s soft, negotiable, Buyer-friendly market could reverse quickly.

🎄 Holiday Season = Hidden Buyer Advantage

Between Thanksgiving and New Year’s:

  • Buyer activity drops

  • Sellers who remain are serious

  • Price reductions accelerate

  • Concessions peak

  • Negotiations become easier

This is historically one of the best times to secure value.

🚀 FINAL WORD: The Buyer Window Is Wide Open — For Now

Here’s what we’re looking at in Denver:

  • 91% of homes below peak

  • Highest inventory since 2012

  • Concessions at decade-highs

  • Deep price reductions

  • Holiday leverage

  • 2026 demand surge looming

If you're planning to buy anytime soon —
you may look back at this moment as the best opportunity of the decade.

📞 Call us today for a personalized Buyer strategy:

  • Deeper price reduction negotiation

  • Seller-paid closing costs

  • Seller-paid prepaids

  • Rate buydown structuring

  • Appraisal-based renegotiations

  • Off-market opportunities

  • Smart timing ahead of the 2026 shift

Your window isn’t just open —
it’s wide open.

If you're planning to buy anytime soon, book a call with us today!

Schedule a Call